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The Russia/Ukraine War Thread


Sharpshooter

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I just watched a clip from Zeihan on Geopolitics which dealt with the Krusk operation and the fact that the Russians have not used nukes to date. His commentary had lots to say about the Russian ability to respond to the Kursk invasion of Russia itself. He says that Russia would need 30,000 troops to counter the AFU and that they do not have the trained men to do that. The only serious opposition to the AFU in Kursk right now is from the south. The training of many Russian troops is minimal and much of the AFU activity is a mop up.

 

Zeihan says the significance of the Kursk operation is that Russia has been invaded and there has been no nuke response. He feels this will remove any reservation by western allies to restrict Ukrainian activity in their effort to force Russia out. 

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Russian forces in disaray, or is this a sign of internal fights? I will guess just confusion on the front lines for Russia. 
A Ukrainian MRAP backs out of a close range fight with two Russian BMP's only to witness them take each other out instead. 

 

 

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From a paywalled NYT article:

 

Russian Attitudes About Putin Might Be Shifting

Negative remarks on social media have increased since Ukrainian troops launched an incursion, according to a firm that tracks Russian attitudes.

Negative feelings about President Vladimir V. Putin have appeared to increase across Russia since Ukrainian troops pushed into Russian territory two weeks ago, according to a firm that tracks attitudes in the country by analyzing social media and other internet postings.

While news outlets in Russia have tried to put a more positive spin on the developments in the war, focusing on the Russian government’s humanitarian response, some Russian social media users have expressed discontent.

Many of the online postings, according to the analysis by FilterLabs AI, say Ukraine’s advance is a failure of the Russian government and, more specifically, Mr. Putin.

It is difficult to accurately gauge public opinion in Russia, or any other authoritarian country, because people responding to polls often give answers that they think the government wants. To address that shortcoming, FilterLabs tracks comments on social media sites, internet postings and news media sites, using a computer model to analyze sentiments expressed by ordinary Russians.

 

That links to the source of the data:

 

https://newsletters.filterlabs.ai/putins-media-coverage-suffers-in-aftermath-of-ukrainian-counteroffensive/

 

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